Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#42
Expected Predictive Rating+19.9#4
Pace67.7#163
Improvement-2.5#261

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#65
Improvement-3.9#325

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#41
Improvement+1.4#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 1.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 51.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round49.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.7% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 266   @ Morgan St. W 80-69 87%     1 - 0 +8.2 -0.2 +7.6
  Nov 20, 2011 124   @ UAB W 62-55 61%     2 - 0 +13.4 -1.2 +15.0
  Nov 25, 2011 137   San Francisco W 70-67 75%     3 - 0 +5.3 +2.6 +3.0
  Nov 26, 2011 69   Southern Miss W 90-81 2OT 59%     4 - 0 +16.0 +7.0 +7.8
  Dec 01, 2011 188   @ Western Kentucky W 70-59 76%     5 - 0 +12.9 +6.3 +7.6
  Dec 04, 2011 65   Dayton W 75-58 70%     6 - 0 +21.0 +8.5 +14.2
  Dec 11, 2011 10   @ Memphis W 76-72 19%     7 - 0 +22.5 +8.8 +13.6
  Dec 15, 2011 216   Lipscomb W 89-65 92%     8 - 0 +17.6 +14.4 +3.6
  Dec 17, 2011 193   Arkansas St. W 66-53 90%     9 - 0 +7.9 -4.4 +13.6
  Dec 21, 2011 334   Tennessee Martin W 78-54 99%     10 - 0 1 - 0 +6.1 -9.0 +13.9
  Dec 30, 2011 299   @ Eastern Illinois W 73-40 91%     11 - 0 2 - 0 +27.6 +13.9 +21.5
  Jan 04, 2012 262   Eastern Kentucky W 76-67 95%     12 - 0 3 - 0 -0.4 +0.6 -0.5
  Jan 07, 2012 212   @ Austin Peay W 87-75 79%     13 - 0 4 - 0 +12.8 +10.8 +1.5
  Jan 12, 2012 211   Jacksonville St. W 66-55 91%     14 - 0 5 - 0 +5.1 -11.4 +15.9
  Jan 14, 2012 180   Tennessee Tech W 82-74 89%     15 - 0 6 - 0 +3.8 +1.4 +1.9
  Jan 18, 2012 203   @ Morehead St. W 66-60 78%     16 - 0 7 - 0 +7.4 +1.3 +6.7
  Jan 21, 2012 307   @ SIU Edwardsville W 82-65 92%     17 - 0 8 - 0 +10.5 +0.2 +9.1
  Jan 28, 2012 299   Eastern Illinois W 73-58 97%     18 - 0 9 - 0 +2.8 -0.1 +4.3
  Feb 02, 2012 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 81-73 93%     19 - 0 10 - 0 +0.9 -0.8 +1.5
  Feb 04, 2012 334   @ Tennessee Martin W 65-58 96%     20 - 0 11 - 0 -4.1 -13.2 +9.2
  Feb 09, 2012 165   Tennessee St. L 68-72 88%     20 - 1 11 - 1 -7.3 -6.8 -0.5
  Feb 11, 2012 212   Austin Peay W 82-63 92%     21 - 1 12 - 1 +13.0 +10.6 +3.6
  Feb 15, 2012 230   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 75-66 82%     22 - 1 13 - 1 +8.7 -1.0 +9.7
  Feb 18, 2012 38   St. Mary's W 65-51 60%     23 - 1 +20.7 +6.7 +17.1
  Feb 23, 2012 165   @ Tennessee St. W 80-62 71%     24 - 1 14 - 1 +21.5 +13.6 +8.7
  Feb 25, 2012 180   @ Tennessee Tech W 69-64 74%     25 - 1 15 - 1 +7.6 -2.6 +10.3
  Mar 02, 2012 180   Tennessee Tech W 78-58 83%     26 - 1 +19.2 +2.1 +16.8
  Mar 03, 2012 165   Tennessee St. W 54-52 81%     27 - 1 +2.1 -6.8 +9.3
Projected Record 27.0 - 1.0 15.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.7 0.1 1.6 15.4 34.3 21.5 15.2 9.4 2.2 0.2
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.7 0.1 1.6 15.4 34.3 21.5 15.2 9.4 2.2 0.2